Hypothesis Testing and Confidence Intervals
Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Tests
1. Key Terms
- Confidence Interval (CI): A range of values likely to contain the population parameter.
- Margin of Error (E): The amount added and subtracted from the sample mean to form the CI.
- Critical Value (tα/2): Value from the t or z distribution for the desired confidence level.
- Degrees of Freedom (df): Number of independent values; df = n – 1 for t-tests.
- Standard Error (SE): Variability measure of the sample mean; SE = s / √n (s = sample standard deviation, n = sample size).
- P-value: Probability of a result as extreme as observed, assuming the null hypothesis is true.
- Test Statistic (t or z): Computed value to determine hypothesis test outcome.
2. Confidence Intervals
- For t-distribution (σ unknown): CI = x̄ ± (tα/2 × SE)
- For z-distribution (σ known): CI = x̄ ± (zα/2 × SE)
- TI-84:
- t-interval: STAT → TESTS → TInterval
- z-interval: STAT → TESTS → ZInterval
3. Hypothesis Testing
- 1-Sample t-Test (Population Mean):
- Null: H0: μ = μ0
- Alternative: H1: μ ≠ μ0
- Test Statistic (t): t = (x̄ – μ0) / (s / √n)
- TI-84: STAT → TESTS → TTest
- Paired t-Test:
- Null: H0: μd = 0 (no difference)
- Alternative: H1: μd ≠ 0
- TI-84: STAT → TESTS → TTest, select “Paired”
- 2-Sample t-Test:
- Null: H0: μ1 = μ2
- Alternative: H1: μ1 ≠ μ2
- TI-84: STAT → TESTS → 2-SampTTest
- 1-Proportion z-Test:
- Null: H0: p = p0
- Alternative: H1: p ≠ p0
- Test Statistic (z): z = (p̂ – p0) / √[(p0(1 – p0)) / n]
- TI-84: STAT → TESTS → 1-PropZTest
4. General Steps for Hypothesis Testing
- State Hypotheses: Define null (H0) and alternative (H1).
- Set Significance Level (α): Common values are 0.05, 0.01.
- Compute Test Statistic (t or z).
- Find P-value or Critical Value.
- Make a Decision:
- Reject H0 if p-value ≤ α or test statistic exceeds critical value.
- Fail to reject H0 if p-value > α.
5. Additional Formulas
- Margin of Error (E): E = tα/2 × (s / √n) or E = zα/2 × (s / √n)
- Standard Error (SE): SE = s / √n
6. Examples
(Examples 1-5 from original document, rewritten for brevity and clarity, would be included here)