Ukraine’s EU and NATO Membership: Pros and Cons
Ukraine’s Potential EU and NATO Membership: Advantages and Disadvantages
The prospect of Ukraine joining the European Union (EU) and NATO is a frequent topic of debate. Ukraine’s readiness to sign agreements puts the onus on the EU, Russia, the US, and other influential international players. Ukraine’s proximity to Russia, with which it shares strong social integration and important economic ties, has always been a concern for the EU. However, Ukraine was the first post-Soviet state to express its intention to join the European Union. Not everyone in Ukraine understands the benefits of such integration. Nevertheless, it requires efforts from both Ukraine and the EU.
European Union
Advantages:
- Counterbalancing Russia: Signing the EU trade deal would send a strong signal to Russia, highlighting its increasing isolation in its anti-Western sentiments. An EU agreement would give Europe more influence over Ukraine’s human and political rights.
- Preventing Russian Economic Integration: If Ukraine joins the EU, it will be unable to join the economic space of the Russian Federation; membership in both is impossible.
- Strengthening Eastern Policy: The agreement is vital for the EU’s Eastern policy. It will serve as an example for future relations with other Eastern European countries. Ukraine is crucial for stability in Europe and the Caucasus region.
- Promoting Democratic Values: According to the agreement, Ukraine will be obliged to defend democratic values and principles, a benefit to Ukrainians.
- Economic Integration: Ukraine will become a member of the Free Trade Area of the European internal market, presenting significant market opportunities.
- Economic Benefits: Ukraine will receive aid and trade benefits, and corruption is expected to decrease.
- Pro-European Sentiment: Surveys show that more than 50% of the Ukrainian population prefers European integration over Russian integration.
Disadvantages:
- Impact on Trade with Russia: Russia is a valuable trading partner for Ukraine. Ending their open trade agreement could raise prices and cripple Ukraine’s manufacturing sector, as few European countries would buy Ukrainian products at higher prices.
- Dependence on Russia for Gas: Russia is Ukraine’s main provider of natural gas. Severing ties could lead to a trade war and political pressure from Russia.
- Need for Political Reform: Ukraine must make significant changes, such as eliminating selective injustice and adopting a new Electoral Code. European leaders will not ratify agreements until these changes are made.
- Pro-Russian Ukrainians: Signing the agreement could be seen as a violation by Ukrainians who support strong ties with Russia.
- Regional Conflicts: European members would have to become involved in conflicts in the Caucasus area.